90th Oscars Predictions (2018)
It’s time for the annual Oscar season and in a few hours the stars will come together to honor this year’s cinematic achievements chosen by the Academy. The buzz will start in a few hours and it’s time to announce my Oscar Predictions. Just like last year and for 2016 I will be dealing with the small and yet important categories first leading to the best picture. I am going to be providing a valid reason for my choice. Let’s see how many I get right this time (Track record is not bad).
Fun Fact: The only Oscar to win an Oscar was Oscar Hammerstein II for Best Song in 1941 and 1945.
- Baby Driver – Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos
- Dunkirk – Lee Smith
- I, Tonya – Tatiana S. Riegel
- The Shape of Water – Sidney Wolinsky
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Jon Gregory
And I think Oscar will go to: With Baby Driver winning Golden Globe for Best Editing, It is a strong contender with quite perfect edited action with the music Baby Driver had blood pumping chase scenes as well. But it’s Lee Smith’s remarkable editing for Dunkirk that takes the cake here. With a remarkable script that has non linear narrative, Dunkirk is a very difficult film to edit. Not to forget the three time-lines meshed together in an intricate pattern the Oscar should and will go to Lee Smith for Dunkirk.
Should Have been nominated:The Post
Will Win: Dunkirk
- Blade Runner 2049 – Roger Deakins
- Darkest Hour – Bruno Delbonnel
- Dunkirk – Hoyte van Hoytema
- Mudbound – Rachel Morrison
- The Shape of Water – Dan Laustsen
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049 – Roger Deakins
Roger Deakins has now become a living legend. With 14 Nominations this year could be and should be his. When I witnessed the movie in October last year, I was pretty sure nothing can beat him this year. The world of Blade Runner is just incredible his work. While the futuristic flying sequences are eye candy, the real beauty lies in more grounded scenes. Like Wallace’s headquarter illuminated by water reflection, or my favourite, the scene inside the theater. With Elvis booming on the stage, the stage lights are used so breathtakingly that it felt hypnotic to be there.
Who I think Can win: The Shape of Water – Dan Laustsen
I believe The Shape of water is the only movie that stands a chance against Deakin’s Seminal work.
Best Production Design
Nominations are :
- Beauty and the Beast – Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
- Blade Runner 2049 – Production Design: Dennis Gassner; Set Decoration: Alessandra Querzola
- Darkest Hour – Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
- Dunkirk – Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Gary Fettis
- The Shape of Water – Production Design: Paul Denham Austerberry; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau and Jeff Melvin
While Blade Runner 2049 was a movie set in the future about androids and with flying cars. Most of the special effects were done with real sets and some of the best miniature designs we have seen for a long time. This video goes through it and quite proves that Blade Runner is my pick for the movie that should win.
But The Art Director’s Guild has already shown their love for The Shape of Water and to be honest that theatre and lab were pretty well made so The Shape of Water will win this category.
Could/Should win: “Blade Runner 2049”
Will win: “The Shape of Water”
Best Costume Design
Nominations are :
- Beauty and the Beast – Jacqueline Durran
- Darkest Hour – Jacqueline Durran
- Phantom Thread – Mark Bridges
- The Shape of Water – Luis Sequeira
- Victoria & Abdul – Consolata Boyle
While the costumes in Shape of Water were pretty Great, the movie about the craft itself has this year’s best work and expect it to win the awards this year
Will win: Phantom Thread
Might Win: The Shape of Water
Best Sound Mixing
- Baby Driver – Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin and Mary H. Ellis
- Blade Runner 2049 – Ron Bartlett, Doug Hemphill and Mac Ruth
- Dunkirk – Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker and Gary A. Rizzo
- The Shape of Water – Christian Cooke, Brad Zoern and Glen Gauthier
- Star Wars: The Last Jedi – David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Stuart Wilson
It’s usually Difficult to defeat a war movie in the sound department. Dunkirk is obviously a huge contender here, but expect Baby Driver to be a wild card as well.
Will Win: Dunkirk
Might win:Baby Driver
Best Sound Editing
- Baby Driver – Julian Slater
- Blade Runner 2049 – Mark Mangini and Theo Green
- Dunkirk – Richard King and Alex Gibson
- The Shape of Water – Nathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira
- Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Matthew Wood and Ren Klyce
It’s easy to say Dunkirk again looks strong in this category. The sound was edited seamlessly and goes well with the script. But i believe Blade Runner 2049 had some scenes that were even better executed. Like the one with Elvis Presley’s famous song. You know the scene i am talking about if you have seen it.
Will win: Dunkirk
Should Win: Blade Runner 2049
Best Visual Effects
- Blade Runner 2049 – John Nelson, Gerd Nefzer, Paul Lambert and Richard R. Hoover
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 – Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner and Dan Sudick
- Kong: Skull Island – Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza and Mike Meinardus
- Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould
- War for the Planet of the Apes – Joe Letteri, Daniel Barrett, Dan Lemmon and Joel Whist
This one is a very difficult choice, its one on one battle between Blade Runner 2049 and War For The Planet of The Apes . While I absolultely loved the world building of Blade Runner 2049 and their incredible use of CGI characters. It’d Andy Serkis’s Motion captured Ceaser that takes the cake. It’s about damn time Academy recognize mo-cap and give an award to ceasar and his goonies.
Will and Should win: War For The Planet of The Apes (PLEASE!!)
Might Win: Blade Runner 2049
Best Original Song
- “Mighty River” from Mudbound – Music and Lyrics by Mary J. Blige, Raphael Saadiq and Taura Stinson
- “Mystery of Love” from Call Me by Your Name – Music and Lyrics by Sufjan Stevens
- “Remember Me” from Coco – Music and Lyrics by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
- “Stand Up for Something” from Marshall – Music by Diane Warren; Lyrics by Common and Diane Warren
- “This Is Me” from The Greatest Showman – Music and Lyrics by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
This one is the most difficult, just like last year. While “Remember Me” from Coco is a Crowd favourite and the most probable winner, “This is Me” and “Mystery of Love” are great competitors as well.
Will Win: Remember Me
MightWin : This is me/Mystery of Love
Nominations are :
- Dunkirk – Hans Zimmer
- Phantom Thread – Jonny Greenwood
- The Shape of Water – Alexandre Desplat
- Star Wars: The Last Jedi – John Williams
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Carter Burwell
This is my category, Background Score is something which I listen to intently and think is an essential part of a movie. Before watching “The Shape of Water”, I was pretty sure Hans Zimmer will finally get his second oscar, for his great score for Dunkirk. But this week I watched The Shape of Water and Alexandre Desplat’s score for the movie is just incredible. Fresh and moving, it fills the listener with joy. While Hans Zimmer’s work this year was better with Blade Runner also under his bag(Which should have been nominated) this year is not for him.
Will and Should win: Alexandre Desplat for “The Shape of Water”
Might Win: Hans Zimmer for “Dunkirk”
Best Animated Film
- The Boss Baby – Tom McGrath and Ramsey Ann Naito
- The Breadwinner – Nora Twomey and Anthony Leo
- Coco – Lee Unkrich and Darla K. Anderson
- Ferdinand – Carlos Saldanha
- Loving Vincent – Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman and Ivan Mactaggart
This is a no Brainer. Another one for Pixar, Coco will win this category tonight.
Will and Should win: Coco
Best Adapted Screenplay
- Call Me by Your Name – James Ivory based on the novel by André Aciman
- The Disaster Artist – Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber based on the book by Greg Sestero and Tom Bissell
- Logan – Screenplay by Scott Frank, James Mangold and Michael Green; Story by James Mangold based on characters from the X-Men comic books and theatrical motion pictures
- Molly’s Game – Aaron Sorkin based on the memoir by Molly Bloom
- Mudbound – Virgil Williams and Dee Rees based on the novel by Hillary Jordan
First of all, I am so happy Logan got nominated for this category. It was a great adaptation and a fine example of cross-genre writing. Now that we have it aside. There is one clear winner in this category: Call Me By Your Name. Ivory is 89, and should he win the Oscar for adapting Andre Aciman’s 2007 novel — as Ivory is widely expected to — he’ll become the oldest Oscar winner ever.
Will win: Call Me By Your Name
Best Original Screenplay
- The Big Sick – Written by Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani
- Get Out – Written by Jordan Peele
- Lady Bird – Written by Greta Gerwig
- The Shape of Water – Screenplay by Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor; Story by Guillermo del Toro
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Written by Martin McDonagh
Get Out is here to win! The fact that Jordan Peele’s script is so bizarre it’s difficult to find a genre to put it in dictates how well written it is. Peele won the writers guild award also so Get out is the biggest contender here. On the Other hand Martin McDonagh’s script for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is inredible. Lady Bird’s script also can slide in to this category. Very close competition here.
Will win: Get Out by Jordan Peele
Should Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri by Martin McDonagh
Might Win: Lady Bird by Greta Gerwig
Best Supporting Actor
- Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project as Bobby Hicks
- Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Chief Bill Willoughby
- Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water as Giles
- Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World as J. Paul Getty
- Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Officer Jason Dixon
The Florida Project should have got more nominations, but William Dafoe as Bobby Hicks was pretty good. Yes Woody Harrelson was great in Billboards, but he wasn’t even in half of the movie, so instead of his nomination, Armie Hammer for Call Me By Your Name would have been a better choice. Even Sir Patrick Stewart’s work in Logan should have been here.
But it’s Sam Rockwell in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Officer Jason Dixon that will take the award tonight. His work is incredible. The character transformation that he goes through is palpable and this is a career best performance.
Best Supporting Actress
- Mary J. Blige – Mudbound as Florence Jackson
- Allison Janney – I, Tonya as LaVona Golden
- Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread as Cyril Woodcock
- Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird as Marion McPherson
- Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water as Zelda Delilah Fuller
Critics’ Choice, Golden Globe, SAG, BAFTA and Now The Academy Award, its Allison Janney that will complete the collection tonight for her performance in I, Tonya. Laurie Metcalf’s performance as the mother in Lady Bird also warrants recognition here.
Will Win: Allison Janney – I, Tonya as LaVona Golden
Might Win :Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird as Marion McPherson
Best Actress in Leading Role
- Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water as Elisa Esposito
- Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Mildred Hayes
- Margot Robbie – I, Tonya as Tonya Harding
- Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird as Christine “Lady Bird” McPherson
- Meryl Streep – The Post as Katharine Graham
It was Sally Hawkin’s mute “Elisa” that won everyone’s hearts, and Saoirse Ronan’s bubbly Lady Bird’s relationship with mother that struck the right cords. But it’s Frances McDormand’s incredible performance as a struggling Mother trying to get justice done which will take the trophy today. Mildred Hayes’ character is incredibly powerful .Ms. McDormand is fearsome and unrelenting, and as mighty a woman as anyone could hope for in the age of #MeToo.
Will and Should Win:Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri as Mildred Hayes
Might Win : Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water as Elisa Esposito(More likely) /Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird as Christine “Lady Bird” McPherson
Best Actor in a Leading Role
- Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name as Elio Perlman
- Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread as Reynolds Woodcock
- Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out as Chris Washington
- Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour as Winston Churchill
- Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq. as Roman J. Israel
While Timothee Chalamet’s performance as Elio Perlman was groundbreaking in Call me By Your Name. His performance is standing nowhere near the Mammoth of Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour. He has had an incredible career in which he had portrayed characters like Beethoven to Dracula and Commissioner Gordon. In Darkest Hour his portrayal of Winston Churchill is brilliant. Not to forget he is against Timothee and Daniel Kaluuya who are too young and Daniel Day Lewis and Denzel who each has multiple oscars each. There is only one winner here: Gary Oldman.
Will and Should Win: Gary Oldman
Might Win : Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name as Elio Perlman
Should have been nominated: James Franco (Franco’s portrayal of Tommy Wiseau was better than three if the above nominees in my opinion and he was robbed of the award)
- Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
- Jordan Peele – Get Out
- Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
- Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread
- Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
Dunkirk was the most profound movie in terms of Technical Direction for sure. But its Guillermo Del Toro whose extremely emotional as well as technically proficient The Shape of Water that is above and beyond every other nominee. And with the Golden Globe and BAFTA in his hands its about time the visionary director win an Oscar.
Will win: “The Shape of Water” (Guillermo del Toro)
Might win: “Dunkirk” (Christopher Nolan)
Should have been nominated: Martin McDonagh for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri / David Lowery for A Ghost Story
- Call Me by Your Name – Peter Spears, Luca Guadagnino, Emilie Georges, and Marco Morabito
- Darkest Hour – Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce, Anthony McCarten, and Douglas Urbanski
- Dunkirk – Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan
- Get Out – Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Edward H. Hamm Jr., and Jordan Peele
- Lady Bird – Scott Rudin, Eli Bush, and Evelyn O’Neill
- Phantom Thread – JoAnne Sellar, Paul Thomas Anderson, Megan Ellison and Daniel Lupi
- The Post – Amy Pascal, Steven Spielberg, and Kristie Macosko Krieger
- The Shape of Water – Guillermo del Toro and J. Miles Dale
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, and Martin McDonagh
This is the difficult one, the biggie :
This Year is quite difficult for Best Picture. One of the most difficult best picture prediction for last few years. While Call Me By Your Name and Lady Bird both were one of my favorite movies of the year. I don’t think they have a chance of winning as much as Get Out. Get Out not only was critically acclaimed, it was also loved by the audience across the world. I can see Get Out as a surprise winner. Dunkirk can slide in as well with the critics with Christopher Nolan. Darkest Hour, The Post and Phantom Thread all looks quite dull when compared to our frontrunners: The Shape of Water and Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri .
While The Shape of Water has positives in every department, may it be the direction, music, looks, performances and Emotion. Billboards is more powerful and important. This is going to be a very interesting award.
Will win: “The Shape of Water”
Might win: “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri”/”Dunkirk”
Should have been nominated: “A Ghost Story”
Alright Friends that’s it from me. I will be trying to post more regularly and have many topics that I have to work on. So wish me Luck and let’s see how Many i got right this time.