Oscar-2017 Predictions

Oscars-Nominations

The-Oscars-2017-Betting-Odds

The Oscar buzz is on and it will start trending on social networking sites in few hours. Every year this time of the year, The Academy announces the best Hollywood has to offer and this time, just for fun, i am here to do the honors, so lets get on with it.

There are many categories and i will be dealing the small and yet important categories first leading to the best picture. I am going to be providing a valid reason for my choice.

Fun Fact: According to the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, the origins of the name are uncertain, but “a popular story has been that an Academy librarian and eventual executive director, Margaret Herrick, thought it resembled her Uncle Oscar and said so; and that the Academy staff began referring to it as Oscar.” (Like for Real!)

Technical Awards:

Best Editing:

Nominations are:

  • Arrival, Joe Walker
  • Hacksaw Ridge, John Gilbert
  • Hell or High Water, Jake Roberts
  • La La Land, Tom Cross
  • Moonlight, Nat Sanders and Joi McMillon

And I think Oscar will go to: Rarely do a movie is out which wins over more hearts than La La Land did this winter. But was it technically proficient enough in editing standards to win this award, while the famous Chazelle’s turning camera cut was used well, the long smooth scenes provide a huge disadvantage to La La Land. Hacksaw Ridge on the other hand provides the perfect example of quick cuts that a war movie must have.

Should Win: Hacksaw Bridge

Will Win: La La Land

Best Cinematography:

Nominations are:

  • La La Land, Linus Sandgren
  • Lion, Greig Fraser
  • Moonlight, James Laxton
  • Silence, Rodrigo Prieto
  • Arrival, Bradford Young
la-la-land-ryan gosling
Visual Cues of La-La Land: Spotlight

Will Win: La La Land, Linus Sandgren:
One thing that La La Land definitely had was gorgeous cinematography, not to forget the innovative camera work on the 35 mm cinemascope film.

Who I think Should Win:  Silence, Rodrigo Prieto
Although I believe Silence deserved many more awards, unfortunately because of bad timing, the movie could not garner enough attention. Silence had some eerie yet stunning ambient shots of japan, shot on film. Making it my favourite of this year, Arrival is a close second in this category that has a chance of winning.

 

 Best Production Design

Nominations are :

  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Stuart Craig and Anna Pinnock
  • Hail, Caesar! , Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh
  • La La Land, Davis Wasco and Sandy Reynolds-Wasco
  • Passengers, Guy Hendrix Dyas and Gene Serdena
  • Arrival, Patrice Vermette and Paul Hotte
la-la-land-another-day-of-sun
The First Scene of La La Land
‘Another Day of Sun’

Who I think should and will Win: La La Land again for its extraordinary use of sets for the epilogue, which takes us back to those old musicals and also helps in storytelling takes the cake. La La Land also won the Producer Guild Award, and Art Director Guild Award this year which makes it an even better contender.

Arrival comes very close in this award category, the production and designing of the Alien spaceship was exceptional and original.

Best Costume Design

Nominations are :

  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Colleen Atwood
  • Florence Foster Jenkins, Consolata Boyle
  • Jackie, Madeline Fontaine
  • La La Land, Mary Zophres
  • Allied, Joanna Johnston

 

Jackie has a little edge over La La Land in this case, the period movie had much more lavish and stunning design. On the other hand La La Land had stunning bright coloured dresses which dulled down to the much more simple yet elegant formal cloths by the end. The clothes changed as the character evolved. Just what Mary Zophres said in her interview here.

Will win: La La Land

Might Win Jackie

Best Sound Mixing

  • Hacksaw Ridge, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie, and Peter Grace
  • La La Land, Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee, and Steve A. Morrow
  • Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio, and Stuart Wilson
  • 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi, Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, and Mac Ruth
  • Arrival, Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye

La La Land being a musical has an upper hand in sound category, but in my opinion this point does not make it a better mixed movie. Hacksaw ridge has the upper edge over La La Land in this category.

Will Win: La La Land

Should Win: Hacksaw Ridge

Best Sound Editing

  • Arrival, Sylvain Bellemare
  • Deepwater Horizon, Wylie Stateman and Renée Tondelli
  • Hacksaw Ridge, Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright
  • La La Land, Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan
  • Sully, Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman

Will Win: Hacksaw Ridge, with the win at Motion Picture SOund Editor Golden Reel Awards, there is a very high chance of hacksaw Ridge sweeping this award easily.

 

Best Visual Effects

Marvel’s DOCTOR STRANGE..L to R: Mordo (Chiwetel Ejiofor) and Doctor Strange (Benedict Cumberbatch)..Photo Credit: Film Frame ..©2016 Marvel. All Rights Reserved.

Nominations are:

  • Deepwater Horizon, Craig Hammack, Jason Snell, Justin Billington, and Burt Dalton
  • Doctor Strange, Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli, and Paul Corbould
  • The Jungle Book, Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones, and Dan Lemmon
  • Kubo and the Two Strings, Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean, and Brad Schiff
  • Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel, and Neil Corbould

A Head to head fight between two Disney Movies in this category. While Doctor Strange had some trippy and insane visual effects that had us entrapped to the screen, its the realistic animals and trees of the jungle in The Jungle Book that takes the cake here .

Will and Should win: The Jungle Book

Main Categories

Best Original Song

  • “Audition (The Fools who Dream),” La La Land, music by Justin Hurwitz, lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
  • “Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls, music and lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, and Karl Johan Schuster
  • “City of Stars,” La La Land, music by Justin Hurwitz, lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
  • “The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story, music and lyric by J. Ralph and Sting
  • “How Far I’ll Go,” Moana, music and lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

This one is the most difficult, the competition is tough. On one hand you have two nominations from La La Land which will share many votes together which actually provides a disadvantage to the nominees, on the other hand there is Justin Timberlake, famous popstar with his catchy famous single. But Moana’s How Far I’ll Go has an upper hand here, a song reminding us of the adventurous identity hidden beneath us all.

Will Win: Moana

Should Win : La La Land : “The Audition”

Best Score

Nominations are :

  • Jackie, Mica Levi
  • La La Land, Justin Hurwitz
  • Lion, Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka
  • Moonlight, Nicholas Britell
  • Passengers, Thomas Newman

This is my category, Background Score is something which I listen to intently and think is an essential part of a movie, and this is a no brainer. Justin Hurwitz will win the Oscar for his exceptional score for la la land, there stands no one in front of him as a competitor.

Will and Should win: La La Land , Justin Hurwitz

Best Animated Film

  • Moana
  • My Life as a Zucchini
  • The Red Turtle
  • Zootopia
  • Kubo and the Two Strings

While Moana has an advantage of releasing late in the year, in my opinion Zootopia was the best Animated feature film this year, commenting on heavy topics like Racism, Drug Abbuse and creating a fun movie out of it is an extremely difficult task and the guys at Disney nailed it. Animal Allegory on fighting your demons and standing against prejudice will win this award.

will and Should win: Zootopia

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Arrival, Eric Heisserer
  • Fences, August Wilson
  • Hidden Figures, Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi
  • Lion, Luke Davies
  • Moonlight, Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney

Will Win: Undoubtedly the best adaptation this year is Moonlight, this story of coming of age is full of emotions and twists that will take you on a ride.
I really want Arrival to win this though. The non-linear narrative was well written for script.

Best Original Screenplay

  • Hell or High Water, Taylor Sheridan
  • La La Land, Damien Chazelle
  • The Lobster, Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou
  • Manchester by the Sea, Kenneth Lonergan
  • 20th Century Women, Mike Mills

Though La La Land has a good shot in this category, I am predicting that Manchester by the Sea (written by the great screenwriter and director Kenneth Lonergan) can win.

Will win: Manchester by the Sea

Best Supporting Actor

  • Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  • Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  • Dev Patel, Lion
  • Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
  • Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Who I think will Win: Mahersha Ali for his role in moonlight. Sweeping all the awards, there is no doubt in this. The screen actor guild also recognised Mahersha Ali for his role in Moonlight and he should and will win the oscars tonight .

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis in Fences
  • Viola Davis, Fences
  • Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman, Lion
  • Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
  • Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

While Michelle Williams did an exceptional job in Manchester by the Sea, there is no doubt that Viola Davis will take this award home.

Will and should win: Viola Davis

Best Actress in Leading Role

  • Isabelle Huppert, Elle
  • Ruth Negga, Loving
  • Natalie Portman, Jackie
  • Emma Stone, La La Land
  • Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Isabelle Huppert in Elle

Who I think will win: Emma stone for La La Land, after winning the SAG award, its an easy guess that she is almost certainly winning for her La La Land performance.

Should Win: Isabelle Huppert for an exceptionally powerful performance in Elle

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  • Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  • Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  • Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
  • Denzel Washington, Fences

Another No Brainer Casey Affleck should and will win this award for his heart breaking and extremely powerful performance in Manchester by The Sea. Ryan Gosling was good in La La Land, but not great. Denzel also did great acting just like always, but it was Casey who blew our mind this year.

Best Director

  • Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Damien Chazelle, La La Land
  • Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
  • Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  • Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Damien Chazelle Directing La La Land

 

Denis Villeneuve blew our minds with his brilliant sci-fi Arrival. But it was Damien Chazelle who mesmerized us with beautiful, dreamy and nostalgic La La Land. With a mark of genius, he proved his mattle by working on the most simple things. Chazelle mixed the larger-than-life and the mundane in a believable way. And, most importantly, he urged a cynical and easily distracted audience to embrace the magic of the movies, and it worked.

Barry Jenkins is the only one who can provide a challenge to Chazelle with his larger than life story of a told in three parts.

Best Picture

  • Arrival
  • Fences
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Hell or High Water
  • Hidden Figures
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight

This is  the difficult one, the biggie :

Will Win: La La Land

Might win: Moonlight

Thats all from me today, see you tomorrow and let us see, how many  I get right .

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